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neonvincentToo bad the only poll that counts happens on Election Day.
Poll shows Clinton leading Trump and Johnson in Michigan
Late Tuesday evening, WDIV released the results of a poll it and the Detroit News commissioned. It showed likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leading presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump by 4.5 percent in a two-way contest.
Clinton also led Trump in a three-way contest including Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson. Her lead shrank to 4.1 percent when Johnson was included, indicating that the Libertarian candidate drew from both Republicans and Democrats. Both leads were barely outside the margin of error, which was four percent.
“It appears that right now the support (for Johnson) comes equally from both sides,” pollster Richard Czuba of the Lansing-based Glengariff Group Inc., which conducted the poll, said to the Detroit News. “It’s kind of that middle that’s intrigued with the Libertarian option.”
The survey of 600 likely Michigan voters conducted May 24 through May 26 found Clinton leading Trump 43.0 percent to 38.5 percent with 11.5 percent undecided and four percent saying that they would vote for an unspecified third candidate. When Johnson's name was offered as a third choice, the share of respondents saying they would vote for him was 11.5 percent and those saying they would prefer yet another candidate was 2.3 percent, bringing the total preferring an alternative to the two major party candidates to 13.8 percent. Meanwhile, support for both Clinton and Trump dropped to 36.8 percent and 32.7 percent, respectively, while the number of undecided voters actually increased to 14.5 percent.
The poll found good news for Senator Bernie Sanders, who won the Michigan Democratic Primary and has not been mathematically eliminated from the Democratic nomination. In a two-way contest with Trump, Sanders got the support of 51.7 percent of those surveyed, while Trump's voters fell to 33.0 percent. Those preferring a third option declined to 1.2 percent with 11.7 percent undecided.
Sanders was also the only major party candidate with a net favorable rating, 42.8 percent favorable to 41.0 unfavorable. In contrast, both Clinton and Trump have net unfavorable ratings, Clinton with 52.7 percent unfavorable to 30.5 percent favorable and Trump with 59.5 percent unfavorable to 27.3 percent favorable.
Clinton's lead over Trump has shrunk during the past two months. In late March, two polls of Michigan voters found Clinton with a double-digit margin over the real estate mogul and former reality television star. An EPIC-MRA poll published by the Detroit Free Press showed Clinton with a ten-point lead, while a Survey USA poll conducted a few days later reported an eleven-point lead for the former Secretary of State.
Those declining leads for Clinton may be contributing to pessimism about her chances. The Detroit News/WDIV poll found that 42.2 percent of those surveyed thought Trump was most likely to be elected President, while 40.8 percent thought Clinton was most likely to win in November.
Poll shows Clinton leading Trump and Johnson in Michigan
Late Tuesday evening, WDIV released the results of a poll it and the Detroit News commissioned. It showed likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leading presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump by 4.5 percent in a two-way contest.
Clinton also led Trump in a three-way contest including Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson. Her lead shrank to 4.1 percent when Johnson was included, indicating that the Libertarian candidate drew from both Republicans and Democrats. Both leads were barely outside the margin of error, which was four percent.
“It appears that right now the support (for Johnson) comes equally from both sides,” pollster Richard Czuba of the Lansing-based Glengariff Group Inc., which conducted the poll, said to the Detroit News. “It’s kind of that middle that’s intrigued with the Libertarian option.”
The survey of 600 likely Michigan voters conducted May 24 through May 26 found Clinton leading Trump 43.0 percent to 38.5 percent with 11.5 percent undecided and four percent saying that they would vote for an unspecified third candidate. When Johnson's name was offered as a third choice, the share of respondents saying they would vote for him was 11.5 percent and those saying they would prefer yet another candidate was 2.3 percent, bringing the total preferring an alternative to the two major party candidates to 13.8 percent. Meanwhile, support for both Clinton and Trump dropped to 36.8 percent and 32.7 percent, respectively, while the number of undecided voters actually increased to 14.5 percent.
The poll found good news for Senator Bernie Sanders, who won the Michigan Democratic Primary and has not been mathematically eliminated from the Democratic nomination. In a two-way contest with Trump, Sanders got the support of 51.7 percent of those surveyed, while Trump's voters fell to 33.0 percent. Those preferring a third option declined to 1.2 percent with 11.7 percent undecided.
Sanders was also the only major party candidate with a net favorable rating, 42.8 percent favorable to 41.0 unfavorable. In contrast, both Clinton and Trump have net unfavorable ratings, Clinton with 52.7 percent unfavorable to 30.5 percent favorable and Trump with 59.5 percent unfavorable to 27.3 percent favorable.
Clinton's lead over Trump has shrunk during the past two months. In late March, two polls of Michigan voters found Clinton with a double-digit margin over the real estate mogul and former reality television star. An EPIC-MRA poll published by the Detroit Free Press showed Clinton with a ten-point lead, while a Survey USA poll conducted a few days later reported an eleven-point lead for the former Secretary of State.
Those declining leads for Clinton may be contributing to pessimism about her chances. The Detroit News/WDIV poll found that 42.2 percent of those surveyed thought Trump was most likely to be elected President, while 40.8 percent thought Clinton was most likely to win in November.
